Unemployment Insurance

Posted on January 10, 2011 by Ben Connard  As part of the political deal to extend the Bush tax cuts, Congress also extended unemployment benefits through 2011. State unemployment benefits usually max out at 26 weeks. The federal program extends those benefits up to 99 weeks, depending on the state’s unemployment rate. A state unemployment rate of above 8.5% allows for the maximum eligibility. Unemployment benefits are a controversial topic. No one is going to get rich collecting unemployment- the max benefit in New York is $405 a week (about $10 an hour vs. minimum wage…

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Municipal Bonds: Risk v. Reward

Posted on January 10, 2011 by David Laidlaw  Municipal bonds have decreased in value substantially over the last few months.  From September 30th to the end of the year, the broad muni bond market has declined over 6% as exemplified by iShares National Muni Bond Market ETF (symbol: MUB). A 10-year municipal now yields about 3.45% which is slightly greater than the 10-Year US Treasury Note. Municipal bond yields have increased roughly 0.5% over the past 6 months. In a “normal” market, municipal bonds typically yield less than US Treasury bonds since interest from municipal bonds…

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Positive Momentum, Pricier Stocks

Posted on January 10, 2011 by David Laidlaw  While the markets gyrated wildly, 2010 was a good year for investors.  As illustrated in the table below, common stocks, bonds and commodities all produced solid returns. Last year, the markets started strong, faltered after European sovereigns appeared on weak footing, and surged again at the end of the year. During the second half of the year, the prospects for stocks and bonds diverged. While the initial hints of the Federal Reserve’s program to buy $600 billion worth of Treasury and Mortgaged-backed securities was greeted…

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2010 Fourth Quarter

Posted by David Tillson 2010 Fourth Quarter In Our 2009 year end letter, we wrote that we believed that the economy would continue to recover, inflation would remain low, S&P earnings would be surprisingly strong, and that the valuation of the market would remain in the 16-18x range. We were correct on the first three items, but too optimistic on the fourth as the multitude of continuing worries kept the market’s valuation in the 13-15x range for the latter part of 2010. Nevertheless, the market did generate a 15% return…

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Big Caps v. Small Caps – Expected Future Returns

Posted on December 17, 2010 by David Laidlaw  Equity markets are sliced and analyzed according to many different criteria.  Market capitalization is one of the most fundamental factors used to segregate stocks into different categories. Morningstar’s style box is a prime example of the use of market capitalization to define investments. Investors move funds between Large, Mid and Small Capitalization stocks at different times hoping to increase their returns.  Throughout the past market cycle, small capitalization common stock returns have trounced the returns generated by large capitalization stocks. Following is a table of annualized returns over the…

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